Tuesday, February 24, 2015

Whatcom Conservation District Election

Well... You know all those complicated numbers, procedures, and bar codes on your primary and general election ballots?  You won't have to worry about too much of that for your Whatcom Conservation District election:

Here's my quick summary:
(1) Put the top form ("ballot") where you vote (for either Larry Helm or Joy Monjure)
 in the small blank ("secrecy") envelope and seal it.
(2) Put the bottom form ("affidavit") where you sign in the addressed ("return") envelope.
(3) Put the small blank ("secrecy") envelope in the addressed ("return")
(4) Attach a stamp and mail!

There are "Instructions to Vote Your Ballot" on page 2 of the enclosed handout.
How could anything possible go wrong?

Wednesday, February 18, 2015

Census Charts on Poverty in WA State

Some charts showing poverty in WA State (2013) from Census SAIPE or Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates. Of the WA counties with more than ~200K population, Only Spokane and Yakima have a greater poverty rate than Whatcom County.
Top 20 WA Counties ranked by Poverty Count.

Monday, February 16, 2015

Saturday, February 7, 2015

Thoughts on homelessness in beautiful downtown Bellingham, WA

Jeff and Amy, owners of Naked Clothing in downtown Bellingham, selflessly hosted this morning a great meeting on the issue of downtown homelessness and its effects on local business owners. Five of us attended including COB Council member Michael Lilliquist, perhaps the most vocal and publicly engaging of all the COB Council member due to his Facebook posts. Michael really helped guide us through the discussion. Most of the information in this post came from our discussion. As the meeting was ending a member of the homeless walked in the store to ask Jeff for a job. This member of the homeless came with a resume and asked for instructions to find resources and support.

Monday, January 26, 2015

Request your ballot now for your vote in the WCD elections

Natalie McClendon reminds us to request your absentee ballot now to vote for Joy Monjure in the upcoming Whatcom Conservation District election!  Please see

Turnout General Elections: 2012 and 2014 GIS representations

Some new electoral GIS skills are demonstrated below. I wanted to plot ballots received marked as "Good" per precinct from the 2012 and 2014 cumulative Matchbacks.   Code is here and here. Click to enlarge graphs.

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

January20th news from the WSWS

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: World Socialist Web Site <>
Date: Mon, Jan 19, 2015 at 9:49 PM
Subject: Today on the WSWS
To: "" <>

Monday, January 19, 2015

Federal Judge rules against polluting Yakima Dairies...

Sunday, January 18, 2015

The President is asking for your input...

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: "The White House" <>
Date: Jan 17, 2015 3:05 PM
Subject: Your memo:
To: <>

We asked you what you wanted to see get done in the next two years. This is what you told us.

Thursday, January 15, 2015

French government carries out mass arrests - World Socialist Web Site

French government carries out mass arrests - World Socialist Web Site

Fwd: Year in Review

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: <>
Date: Jan 13, 2015 2:13 PM
Subject: Year in Review
To: <>

Having trouble reading this email? View it in your browser.

My sisters and brothers,
This week marks the passage of one year since the first socialist took office in Seattle in over a century. Our election victory, a collective endeavor by everyone who worked on and supported our bold working-class campaign, came in the context of growing anger against economic inequality and the beginnings of a movement against poverty wages.
Our success reflected the decades of betrayal by corporate politicians and a search for genuine political alternatives. Under the entrenched Democratic Party establishment, Seattle has increasingly become a playground for the wealthy, with working people increasingly priced out of the city.

Wednesday, January 7, 2015

How the Democrats can keep from losing next time: Part II Understanding Voter Updates

This discussion invovlves statistical abstraction at the edge of my capacities for mathematical and inferential logic.  Piece under construction 9:21 AM 1/7/2015. Code to be updated later is here  -RMF
This is part II (part I here) of a discussion of voter updates in the 2014 Whatcom County election. The discussion will conclude with evidence that results from precincts in the 42nd district are correlative to an increase voter update process.  Why this is the case, I do not know. However, the reader should understand that voter updates involve at least two separate organizations:

(1) Your County's election office
(2) A State based effort called 'ERIC'

Here's  a summary of the best information I can gather on how voting lists are scrubbed, moved voters are found, 'undeliverables' removed from active status... (to be continued)

Friday, December 26, 2014

How the Democrats can keep from losing next time: Part I Understanding Voter Updates

Last updates per year for active registrants as of 12/19/2014.
Some of the Age and Precinct charting code updated  12:55 PM 12/29/2014 -RMF
Complete for now. Find Part II here -RMF. R Code for Part I  here. R Code for Part II here.

Sunday, December 14, 2014

"Why the Democrats Lost: Part II" : Analysis of 2012,2013,2014 MatchBacks by Voting Age

The data from this analysis follows from Part I. The 2012 vote for Obama and Cantwell contained a much higher percentage of youth voters than the 2014 vote for the 42nd legislative seats.  Whether these youth votes were suppressed, discouraged, or uninterested in voting for  the Democrat candidates in 2014 is unknown. I will hazard this question:  Satpal Sidhu did the best of the Democrat  legislative candidates. He had the narrowest margin of loss.  Was it because he was perceived as more pro business or more moderate? Or was it because he was a person color who attracted more young Hispanic and Native American votes? Or both?  R Code is here.

Tuesday, December 9, 2014

"Why the Democrats Lost: Part I" : Analysis of 2012,2013,2014 MatchBacks by Voting Year

The easiest conclusion is that 2012 Cantwell and Obama voters did not turn out for the Democrats in 2014.  It might be possible to conclude that the Republicans energized their base to vote more for their legislative candidates in 2014 than they did for their county candidates in 2013. Click on the charts below to enlarge. R Code is here.

Friday, December 5, 2014

A Final MatchBack analysis for General Election 2014

16,845 42nd LD Precinct Votes "left on the table" from those precincts with over 300 'not voting'. 32K voters registered in the 42nd LD did not participate.  Click on chart too enlarge.
Statistics below paint a dismal picture of participation in the 2014 General Election. 48,205 registered Whatcom County voters did not participate in the 2014 General Election including 31,938 from the LD 42nd where this year's critical races were held.  Arguably, many of the top 30 'not voting'  precincts shown above would have voted for Democrats. R Code here.

Monday, December 1, 2014

A really intriguing work on vote fraud: "Code Red"

CODE RED: Computerized Election Theft and The New American Century by Simon, Jonathan on Kindle for Android!

Saturday, November 22, 2014

More CitizenFour: "the fearlessness and the f**k you"

"There are a number of loopholes for putting people onto the watchlists even if reasonable suspicion cannot be met.
One is clearly defined: The immediate family of suspected terrorists—their spouses, children, parents, or siblings—may be watchlisted without any suspicion that they themselves are engaged in terrorist activity. But another loophole is quite broad—”associates” who have a defined relationship with a suspected terrorist, but whose involvement in terrorist activity is not known. A third loophole is broader still—individuals with “a possible nexus” to terrorism, but for whom there is not enough “derogatory information” to meet the reasonable suspicion standard."